StanCollender'sCapitalGainsandGames Washington, Wall Street and Everything in Between



Why It's Hard To Take Tax Complainers Seriously

20 Apr 2010
Posted by Stan Collender

My column from today's Roll Call explains why all of last week's protests about taxes should be taken with a grain, if not a whole shaker, of salt.



Tax Complainers Only Looking at One Side of Budget

April 20, 2010

Between the perennial use of April 15 to protest federal taxes, all of the misguided hype about something called tax freedom day, and the public relations stunts staged by tea party folks, you had to look very hard last week to realize that the federal government spends as well as taxes and actually does things for people rather than just demands financial tribute from them.

This is incredibly ironic. At most points in the year the federal budget almost always is referred to in terms of what is spent rather than the revenue collected. For example, the stories written when the White House releases its budget usually have a lead that says something like, “The president today submitted a $3 trillion budget that calls for ... ” The $3 trillion (or whatever the actual number is that year) refers only to the spending that will be done. Revenues are mentioned much later in the story, if they are mentioned at all.

But last week’s events and press releases were all about taxes. What the government does with the revenue at most was an afterthought.

Both of these one-sided views of the federal budget are incredibly wrong. The budget is neither just spending nor only revenues, and doing what the tax complainers did last week by looking at one without the other is so inappropriate that it has to be seen for what it was: intellectually lazy and intentionally misleading.

There are a number of problems with complaining only about the amount of taxes you’re paying without any reference to the other side of the budget.

First, being unhappy with federal taxes without saying what you personally are willing to have the government stop doing, not start to do, or do less of is disingenuous at best. This is especially the case when the complaints also include the size of the federal deficit and national debt; if they don’t also say what spending should be eliminated, both will increase if taxes are cut as the complainers said or implied they wanted.

But I saw or heard virtually nothing last week that showed the tax complainers suggesting or supporting proposals for spending reductions. Add to that the poll discussed in last week’s Fiscal Fitness that showed very little support for any spending cuts other than foreign aid, and you get a clear sense about just how dishonest the tax protests really were.

Second, tax complainers need to understand that revenues are collected both to meet current needs and so the government can make good on previous obligations. They may not like the fact that Washington has hundreds of billions of dollars in current annual interest payments because it has borrowed in the past, and they may not think they’re getting much in return. But the time to deal with that borrowing was years, or in some cases decades, earlier when it was being considered. If they didn’t support additional revenues or spending cuts to pay for entitlements, wars and natural disasters when the decision was made to undertake them, they shouldn’t be surprised, dismayed or angry that Washington has to make interest payments now to pay for what it has already borrowed — and that tax cuts are more difficult because of that.

This point seems to be completely lost on tax complainers. The opportunity to reduce the national debt and annual interest payments and to make it possible for tax cuts to be considered now because of those decisions came earlier in the decade when the budget was in surplus. But rather than paying off the debt by the end of this decade as it promised, the Bush administration chose to use the surplus for doing what the tax complainers also wanted then — tax cuts. Not only is it not surprising that today’s large and rapidly growing annual interest payments make further tax cuts difficult or unlikely, it was entirely predictable.

Third, tax complainers seem to forget or refuse to admit that it sometimes costs the federal government more to do something today than it did yesterday simply because the need is greater or prices have increased. A terrorist threat that didn’t exist 20 years ago today requires $40 billion to be spent annually. No matter how valuable it may be in terms of keeping the U.S. safe in today’s world, even in peacetime technology is expensive. And, of course, benefit programs often cost more than they did last year not because Congress and the president agree to new or increased benefits but because, as was fully expected, more people are eligible this year than last.

Had the tax complainers put their complaints in the context of spending as well as revenues, at least paid lip service to the fact that the surplus was used by the Bush administration to cut taxes rather than reduce spending on interest on the national debt, or admitted that some decisions made in the past had made additional tax cuts more difficult, I could and would have thought better about last week’s events. But the fact that they didn’t even try makes it hard to take them seriously.

what's logic got to do with it?

It's not clear that they really want to be taken seriously. They just want to vent. Their feelings are hurt because their side lost the last election. (Certainly, they weren't out there protesting when the Bush tax and war policies gutted the treasury).

Nothing wrong with that-- though it is a bad thing if this bundle of angry, solutions-free grievances comes to control the rhetoric and policy of one of the two major political parties in this country.

It's as if Phillies fans had held a rally after the World Series last year. Same motivation, same tone, perhaps slightly less intentional vomiting.

(One small point: it's not the Tea People's fault that the population as a whole doesn't want to cut anything except the .01% of the budget that is foreign aid. But as you point out, there's no evidence that the protesters have thought about it any more than the poll respondents).


same coin

I think you're making an unsupported characterization. I think most people understand that taxing and spending are different sides of the same coin. Many people who think taxes should be low think that a) government should be made more efficient (e.g. there is substantial waste) and b) there are spending programs that should be cut (e.g. these programs are inherently ineffective and/or the person is philosophically opposed to it).

It's interesting that you mention the cost of terrorism prevention, since defense is one of the very few items that even libertarians agree should be provided by the government (and thus require taxes). (Note that many on the 'right' are just as opposed as the 'left' to the massive military-industrial complex that feeds unneeded programs and wants for wars.)


Speaking of fallacies, the

Speaking of fallacies, the belief that there is some magical pot of government waste that can be swept away to save us huge amounts of money is a myth that just won't die. Could we cut spending by a few percent by making government more efficient? Maybe, but of course identifying the waste and putting new and more efficient procedures into place takes time and money. And the pay-off will be small. This viewpoint reminds me of how John McCain said he'd balance the budget by wiping out earmarks, despite the fact that their dollar value impact would be very small compared to the actual deficit.

The other fallacy is that there are some large number of and/or costly programs that could be swept away that people didn't like. I'm sure there are a few, but again nothing that would particularly make a decent dent in the budget deficit.

The real choices are going to be painful, and will require giving up spending in areas that are popular. The biggies will be the military, Social Security, and Medicare. And many of the loudest anti-tax people refuse to mention this fact.


same coin: > I think you're

same coin:
> I think you're making an unsupported characterization. (...)
> many on the 'right' are just as opposed as the 'left' to the massive military-industrial complex

Did you see any sign at the tea parties that blasted the DoD for a bloated budget?


Spending

The only "fiscal conservatives" I take seriously are those who:

a) display that they actually know that the "big three" of Medicare, SS and the Military make up the vast majority of spending;

b) show a willingness to cut all three; and

c) recognize that taxes will have to go up too, at least temporarily.

These people are few and far between, it seems. I, personally, would sign on to a "grand bargain" that involved spending cuts (say 2/3 of the plan) from the biggest programs (none of these "cut the waste!" or "cut foreign aid!" fantasies) and tax increases (1/3 of the plan), phased in over a fairly long time-span (huge cuts immediately would be kinda like stopping your car by slamming it into a wall. Stops the car, but...). The goal should be not only to close the deficit but also to pay down the national debt to a reasonable % of GDP. It's too high now.

I think the Dems may work on this, but I doubt they will go nearly far enough. Don't even get me started on the GOP (this includes the Tea Partiers, who are clearly pissed off Republicans who just don't want to call themselves Republicans at the moment).


On your second point: Social

On your second point: Social Security represents a massive inter-generational wealth transfer from current workers to retiring Boomers. See the Gokhale and Smetters paper(s). Current workers were not around to vote for or against that.

On your first point: defence, judiciary and a few merit goods (e.g. streetlighting). It's easier to list what it should than shouldn't do.


How many ways can you spell "self-contradictory"?

More succinctly (from the Contract From America):

3. Demand a Balanced Budget

6. End Runaway Government Spending

10. Stop the Tax Hikes





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