StanCollender'sCapitalGainsandGames Washington, Wall Street and Everything in Between



Disagreeing With Bruce About A Capital Budget

12 Dec 2009
Posted by Stan Collender

I always hate to disagree with any of my fellow CG&G bloggers, but I feel that I have no choice when it comes to Bruce's post below advocating capital budgeting.

I was a member of the President's Commission to Study Capital Budgeting that was created during the Clinton administration ( see page 10 of the report Bruce cites) so I've spent a great deal of time on this issue.  In a perfect world or if we were creating the system for the first time, we should indeed have a capital budget and capital budgeting.  But neither of these exists and, although I started on the commission convinced a capital budget was the right way to go, I came to understand that the implementation problems are so serious that there was no way to make it work.

In brief...

1.  There is no established definition of what constitutes a capital expense at the federal level.

2.  There's also no mechanism for creating and, more important, enforcing that definition.  And we know from the successful legal challenges to Gramm-Rudman-Hollings in the 1980s, that responsibility cannot be delegated to a congressional agency like GAO which, given its accounting expertise, would be the most likely.  For constitutional reasons, the decision will always be left to Congress and that will make it a political issue.

3.  The major benefit of capital budgeting is that it makes capital expenses appear to be less costly and, therefore, that we'll get more of them. That almost certainly means that congressional supporters of operating expenses will do everything possible to get them included in the capital expense definition. 

4.  And in many cases they'll have substantial substantive support for doing so because economists typically consider education an investment in "human capital."

5.  That will open the floodgates.  If education for younger Americans is classified as a capital expense, veterans and senior citizen programs advocates almost certainly will demand that those expenditures be classified as capital and funded through the capital budget as well.  After all, we can invest in older Americans as well as younger.

6.  And some will insist that military spending be classified as an investment in freedom.

7.  That doesn't even start to deal with the less political and more substantive definitional issues.  For example, is a missle or bullet a capital or operating expense?  The answer seems to be that it's a capital expense until it's fired, at which point it becomes an operating expense.

8.  There are also substantial issues with how we account for depreciation at the federal level.  Needless to say, there are substantial opportunities to play with the concepts and the budget impact.

Bruce is right in the sense that, because all expenditures are accounted for in the federal budget on a strictly cash basis, the federal government almost certainly has been and still is underinvesting in bridges, tunnels, sewers, highways, buildings, and other things that continue to provide benefits long after the construction work is completed.

But the solution he suggests -- a federal capital budget -- will likely create a series of problems far worse than the underinvesting currently going on.  And, if many operating expenses end up being classified as capital, there will be litle or no benefist of any kind.

If you don't think that could happen, remember that New York City used to include the salaries of its police force in its capital budget so that it's operating budget could appear to be balanced.  That worked for years.

Reply

Your points are well taken and possibly irrefutable. Nevertheless, I want to think this through a bit more before throwing in the towel. Perhaps I will do a column on the subject one of these days.


I have to say that this

I have to say that this argument doesn't persuade me at all. For decades, Congress has relied on the official word of the Congressional Budget Office for both policy and procedural questions. I haven't heard many accusations of CBO being politicized; why would that change just because a capital budget were introduced?

I'm reminded of the failed effort in the mid-1990s to force CBO to conduct "dynamic scoring" of tax cuts -- proof, in my opinion, that just because powerful legislators will try to politicize the process, doesn't mean that it will be successful.


Not really

First...CBO doesn't score tax cuts; that's the sole responsibility of the Joint Tax Committee.

Second, CBO may make recommendations to Congress, but it absolutely has no decision-making authority.  Indeed, the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings ruling, which specifically said that for constitutional reasons Congress may not delegate its responsibilities to a legislative branch agency, means that CBO is not allowed to make such decisions.

Third, Congress overrules...or, rather, ignores, CBO scoring recommendations all of the time.


Well,

For the most part, neither CBO nor JCT make "recommendations", per se. If CBO rules that a bill is not deficit neutral, certainly Congress may choose to pass it anyway. But not by changing the rules -- by following the rules.

When you consider how much of the 1974 Budget Act and the 1990 BEA are still in force today, you can't make the claim that Congress would simply ignore the procedures that those laws created. And creating a capital budget would certainly require legislation of similar depth and complexity.

Members of Congress don't like to spend time on process issues, so once a big process change is enacted -- like a capital budget -- it probably wouldn't be touched again for a long time. That's why most of the 1974 and 1990 provisions are still in place. The key is to get it right the first time, of course, but there won't be much support for a capital budget process full of loopholes -- the media would tear it to shreds -- so the only way something like that would get passed in the first place is if there is broad, bipartisan support.

(Which means, of course, that it'll never happen, anyway, making this is a purely academic discussion.)




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