Washington Post Budget Editorial Is So Wrong It Hurts
I'm going to have much more to say about this early next week, but this editorial in today's Washington Post is so wrong about the federal budget that it really has to make you wonder what they were thinking.
Here's the whole editorial for what I'd normally say should be your reading enjoyment. I doubt you'll find it very enjoyable, however.
A critical question
Why fund war with debt but insist that health-care reform be deficit-neutral?
Saturday, October 24, 2009
A READER recently challenged us to explain what he sees as a contradiction in our editorial positions. We support the goal of universal health care, but argue that President Obama must keep his pledge not to pay for it with borrowed money. We have also backed Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal's request for additional troops and other resources for Afghanistan -- but without specifying how the reinforcements should be funded. Why is it okay to finance wars with debt, asks our reader, but not to pay for health care that way?
In principle, all wars should be paid for, just like all other federal spending. We criticized President George W. Bush for sticking with tax cuts rather than calling for national sacrifice after Sept. 11, 2001, and for failing to fund the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. If Mr. Obama were to propose offsetting the cost of additional troops in Afghanistan with a gasoline or carbon tax, we would support it.
But is a new war tax needed? In fact, if you apply the same logic to defense spending that Mr. Obama has used for health care -- that projected future savings offset new spending -- he has paid for the proposed escalation in Afghanistan many times over. Overall, Mr. Obama's plan for defense spending projects $1.5 trillion in savings over 10 years. While overall federal spending will rise 75 percent from 2008 to 2019, defense spending would increase only 17 percent.
That percentage will be a bit higher if the Afghan mission is fully funded. But spending on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan -- which have been budgeted jointly since 2003 -- has already fallen from $180 billion in the 2008 budget year to $150 billion this year. Even counting the additional troops Mr. Obama has already approved for Afghanistan, spending is due to drop to $130 billion in 2010, and the Congressional Research Service estimates it will fall to $70 billion in 2012. That's because in the next year, twice as many American troops are due to leave Iraq as would go to Afghanistan under Gen. McChrystal's middle-course request. If Mr. Obama supports the option of sending 40,000 more soldiers, annual war spending could still drop to $110 billion.
All this assumes that defense and health care should be treated equally in the national budget. We would argue that they should not be, for two reasons. One is that wars, unlike entitlement programs, eventually come to an end. A guarantee of health care for all, particularly in the context of steadily rising costs, will bankrupt the nation if not matched by a steady stream of revenue.
The second reason has been laid out eloquently by Mr. Obama. "As president, my greatest responsibility is the security and safety of the American people," he said in an address to the Veterans of Foreign Wars two months ago. Mr. Obama went on to say that Afghanistan "is not a war of choice; this is a war of necessity. . . . This is not only a war worth fighting. This is fundamental to the defense of our people."
Universal health care, however desirable, is not "fundamental to the defense of our people." Nor is it a "necessity" that it be adopted this year: Mr. Obama chose to propose a massive new entitlement at a time of historic budget deficits. In contrast, Gen. McChrystal believes that if reinforcements are not sent to Afghanistan in the next year, the war may be lost, with catastrophic consequences for U.S. interests in South Asia. U.S. soldiers would continue to die, without the prospect of defeating the Taliban. And, as Mr. Obama put it, "if left unchecked, the Taliban insurgency will mean an even larger safe haven from which al-Qaeda would plot to kill more Americans."
So, in answer to our questioner: Wars end, and the spending for them tapers off; entitlement programs must be funded in perpetuity. Wars compel decisions, like the one now at hand; new entitlement programs can be phased in or delayed. And the nation's security must be the president's first priority. To quote Mr. Obama once more, it is "the first thing I think about when I wake up in the morning. It's the last thing I think about when I go to sleep at night." Even for a president dedicated to domestic reform, that must hold true.

Washington Post so wrong it hurts -- and other redundancies
Interesting. Apparently the Washington Post see evidence that our misadventure in Afghanistan will end. Or maybe they are just deducing this from the metaphorical declaration that this military project is a "war". Certainly it involves killing. Also many weapons. Some utopian speculations where goals should be. People in uniform spending large amounts of money.
Vietnam at least made a rough sort of sense in its time. There was all this worry about "dominoes", it all came back to Soviet expansionism. The USSR did pack a lot of nukes. Maybe if you squinted at it just right, you could see how Vietnam was a sort of Guadalcanal -- turning the tide of Communism. Of course, history demonstrated as conclusively as it ever can that this was all horsepucky. We were flatly defeated in Vietnam. Humiliated. 'Cut and ran' with our tails between our legs. Yet, not ... another ... domino ... fell.
But Afghanistan has an even thinner "grand theory" behind it. Fanatics with box cutters hijacked some airplanes and crashed them. So we busted up that game with endless TSA friskings. Done. No? Oh, now we have to go do for every tribal enclave in central Asia what we've never been able to do in South Central LA? Well, sure, you've got a lot of brass on your shoulders, you must be right, Mr. General, Sir!
I see Eisenhower's military-industrial complex in rude health, enjoying its exemption from rational political supervision. God help the United States of America.
The true cost of war
I'm going to have much more to say about this early next week, but this editorial in today's Washington Post is so wrong about the federal budget that it really has to make you wonder what they were thinking.
I agree that the editorial has a number of problems. I don't know that I disagree that much on its suggestions on health-care reform. I do think that we should take great care to make any reform sustainable (or at least more sustainable than the current system). However, I disagree with the concept that wars are very much different because they "end". In recent history, we have seen a number of wars that have dragged on for years and years. Vietnam lasted for over a decade. Less obvious, however, is that the costs of the war extend for long after the war supposedly ends. The loss to the families of those who have died in Iraq is permanent and the cost to provide for many severely injured veterans will continue for decades.
I was recently looking at the charge that balanced budgets cause depressions and was once again reminded of the heavy cost that wars entail. As the first graph at this link shows, major wars have been accompanied by massive increases in federal debt. The second graph shows that even lower-grade but prolonged wars like Vietnam have been accompanied by growth in inflation and the M2 money supply. I think that most people would agree that it would be immoral to engage in a war that resulted in the death of soldiers and civilians simply because it helped the economy. But the fact is, the data suggests that wars have a much higher cost than any supposed benefit that they provide to the economy. This makes perfect sense since wars involve a great deal of destruction. At best, the idea that World War II brought us out of the Great Depression is a misguided attempt to extrapolate from a very unique set of circumstance to other wars. At worst, it is pure illusion.
I think that most people would agree that the only moral reason to fight a war is self-defense. However, I've long thought that it may still be helpful to refute the notion that may be lurking in the back of people's minds that war can have economic benefits or that its costs end with the end of the war.